Contingency Reserve Calculator

Advanced risk management with EMV analysis and comprehensive reserve planning

Risk Analysis

EMV probability assessment

Reserve Planning

Contingency calculation

Buffer Management

Management reserves

Mitigation

Risk reduction strategies

Risk and Reserve Parameters

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Total project baseline cost without reserves

Based on probability-weighted risk impact

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For unknown risks and opportunities

Risk Assessment

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Understanding Contingency Reserves

Reserve Fundamentals

What are Contingency Reserves?

Funds set aside to address identified risks and uncertainties. These reserves are budgeted specifically for known risks that have been quantified and analyzed.

EMV-Based Calculation

Expected Monetary Value = Probability × Impact. This statistical approach quantifies the expected loss from each risk, allowing data-driven reserve sizing.

Management vs Contingency

Contingency: For identified risks
Management: For unknown risks and strategic opportunities

Best Practices

Reserve Sizing

• Use multiple calculation methods for validation
• Consider project complexity and team experience
• Adjust for project phase and risk maturity
• Review industry benchmarks and standards

Risk Management

• Implement active risk monitoring and mitigation
• Regular risk assessment updates are essential
• Document all reserve usage with justification
• Maintain transparent stakeholder communication

Governance

• Establish clear approval processes for reserve usage
• Maintain detailed risk registers and documentation
• Regular reporting to stakeholders and sponsors
• Ensure audit trail and compliance requirements